Monday, April 25, 2011

"Black gold" thinking

"Black gold" thinking

March 3, 2010/Dong Xiucheng

Oil is a precious wealth God gave humanity, some oil known as "black gold". Oil in the course of human civilization and social progress has played a huge role in promoting, the oil industry has become a international relations, national security, national progress and economic development of the industry.

France former President General de Gaulle had given an exclamation mark: "decide victory or defeat of the first world war are coal, France there is no coal; decide victory or defeat of the second world war is oil, France has no oil." Such wisdom can warn us and our descendants: oil is so important and indispensable!

100 years, especially after the second world war, due to oil national disputes, international disputes, territory or territorial waters disputes emerge, even repeated armed conflicts, wars, violence.

In today world in the, Middle East Arab national and Israel of national and religious conflict, and Gulf over of war cloud, and Balkan this "gunpowder barrels" distributed of thick smoke and Kosovo region of humanitarian disaster, and Chechnya territory of rumble guns sound, and Afghanistan territory of counter-terrorism war, and Caspian Sea regional national Zhijian of territorial waters disputes, and South China Sea often does not calm of wave, and China Taiwan Strait strait relationship and China Xinjiang and Tibet of independent movement and so on, are check up people on "oil" of deep reverie and distant thinking.

Oil problem in past for decades years to has been is world of hot or focus problem, oil in future is long of period still will is world compete for of most important resources, oil industrial in future for decades years still will is world concern of important industry one, world economic body in the constantly flowing of blood also main is oil, and people relish of new blood-information flow not may in short period within replaced oil.

World economic body even to exchange transfusion, the main ingredients in fresh blood is also oil, or is a mixture of organic oil flow and information flow. In the field of oil "trouble", such as changes in oil supply and demand, oil price fluctuations, the new discovery of oil resources, oil channels unblocked or blocked, such as oil-producing areas of political and economic conflicts from intensifying, will continue to affect the heart of politicians, military experts, economists and entrepreneurs, has received much attention.

Therefore, the international oil market is "minus the front". Ownership and access to oil resources, ensure the long-term stability of oil supply, has become the world's political, military, and economic areas in all countries, particularly the developed countries focus on one of the strategies.

How to understand the "China Development Model"?.

<p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN="center"> <b .STYLE = "mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; .mso-layout-grid-align: none "ALIGN =" center "> <b STYLE="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> how to understand the" China Development Model "? .</ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN = "center ."> October 29, 2010 / Dong Xiucheng </ P> <p STYLE =" MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none ."> <wbr> </ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> < .wbr> <wbr> today's China, has shrunk, has become the world's largest economy in the international arena, becoming a shining star, in many things, play an important role. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .These changes, in the final analysis due to China by 30 years of reform and opening up achieved in the extraordinary economic success, thanks to the construction of Mr. Deng Xiaoping opened the road of socialism with Chinese characteristics, thanks to the great Chinese people in the environment of reform and opening up under .The unprecedented release of energy. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .social development and people are always the main force of human progress and the core strength of people's initiative and creativity of the environment once they are released and a system of play, the kind of power is very great, the great achievements China has made today is .A typical history of proof. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .reform over the past few decades, mainly confined to economic reform, and adopt a gradual pace, after the first rural city, easy things first, successive advance is the formation of such an academic today's definition of "China's development model .. " .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .For the "China's development model" has been studied in many domestic and foreign experts and scholars, trying to find a new, and the traditional distinction between capitalism and socialism has a national development model, and explore their world, whether many developing countries, " .Template "example. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .In fact, "China's development model" was successful in the final analysis or the use of the traditional capitalist system of the basic economic component, that is "free market economy" principle: market competition and survival of the fittest, in the economic sphere bold market economic reforms, and then .members of society inspired the enthusiasm and initiative. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .Also, "China's development model" has followed the traditional socialist system is a basic political component, it is "highly centralized political" rule: a party and the level of management, maintenance of stable order in the political arena, big things to focus on efficiency. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .China chose such a "political focus on economic freedom" model, in addition to the National Day of China on the basic long-standing, but largely on traditional Chinese culture, which is basically consistent with "middle way", both in .traditional between capitalism and traditional socialism to seek a "compromise" road. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .Of course, "China's development model" is universal, whether the development can become the world's "third way", is a long and stability, whether China continues to lead the development and growth, whether the cause of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation can .fully realized, these are worth to be careful consideration. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .political focus can bring high efficiency and be able to concentrate on doing big things, but the political focus will be to bring the concentration of power, the concentration of power will lead to corruption. .Unfettered power will inevitably lead to corruption, a person too much power and unfettered, it will make good people bad people, this is basic common sense. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> .Therefore, China must continue to reform the future, continue to improve, "China's development mode", which restrict individual rights, to prevent the spread of corruption is the key of political reform, and create a clean, diligent people, efficient operation, social services .government is the goal of political reform. .</ P>.

Thinking of Qin e of the scourge of the Middle East

Thinking of Qin e of the scourge of the Middle East

March 14, 2011/Dong Xiucheng

Chaos in the Middle East,

Long street gathering audio.

Sound,

Internet users rising resentment,

Us and European partial withdrawal.

Persian oil transport road-rail,

Scourge of many energy wars.

Energy war

Operate in the West,

People flows like water.

Friday, April 15, 2011

Countries should be built large-scale natural gas emergency stocks

Countries should be built large-scale natural gas emergency stocks

November 19, 2009

Hexun message recently endured a cold spell in China, promoting Blizzard from North to South. According to various media reports, the surge in demand for natural gas in the South ahead of winter, vehicles with natural gas, have varying degrees of civil natural gas shortages. Out of Wuhan, Zhengzhou out, shortage of natural gas as energy bottlenecks throughout. In this regard, Professor zhongguoshiyoudaxue Dong Xiucheng hexun financial ties, against gas occurs in the South "gas shortage" in the comments.

Hexun: in the current cold weather during the winter, heating needed in areas such as gas rationing residents plenty of cases, the gas shortage phenomenon occurred in the South, why severe natural gas shortages in the South?

Dong Xiucheng: fundamentally speaking, domestic natural gas resource shortages, supply keep pace with the increase of consumption demand, the national sudden changes in weather, lack of exposure on the domestic gas supply capacity.

Hexun: this country is there a corresponding emergency response mechanisms to guarantee the supply of natural gas?

Dong Xiucheng: now the residents of natural gas supplied by a local city gas company, emergency measures can be taken is to restrict the use of some industrial users only, existing gas source can also be an appropriate increase implementation when this method is slower, not suitable for rapid emergency response.

Not been able to quickly supply of natural gas is the source of the problem of, currently State to have in place contingency stocks of natural gas. In contrast, oil emergency measures is relatively complete, in the case of diesel shortage occurs, can be provided by the petroleum inventory replenishment.

Hexun: media reports for domestic natural gas prices are too low, insufficient investment in State-owned energy giant, led to a shortage of natural gas occurred, what do you think this?

Dong Xiucheng: at present the domestic natural gas production and supply of high degree of monopoly by the State controlled prices, despite a series of pricing reform, but there is also a confusing issue of gas price system, reflected in the different sources of natural gas prices are inconsistent, unified source for inconsistent prices without a user, in addition to three aspects of the internal and external prices inconsistent. As natural gas prices households involved, price reform issue is very sensitive, so only hear the stairs over the years, no specific measures introduced. But for now, imports of natural gas prices are too high have been hung upside down question, therefore also in promoting the reform of domestic natural gas pricing, and on the increase.

Minus the battlefield

Minus the battlefield

January 11, 2010/Dong Xiucheng

100 years, especially after the second world war, due to oil national disputes, international disputes, territory or territorial waters disputes emerge, even repeated armed conflicts, wars, violence. In today world in the, Middle East Arab national and Israel of national and religious conflict, and Gulf over of war cloud, and Balkan this "gunpowder barrels" distributed of thick smoke and Kosovo region of humanitarian disaster, and Chechnya territory of rumble guns sound, and Afghanistan territory of counter-terrorism war, and Caspian Sea regional national Zhijian of territorial waters disputes, and South China Sea often does not calm of wave, and China Taiwan Strait strait relationship and China Xinjiang and Tibet of minority of independent tendencies and so on, are check up people on "oil" of deep reverie and distant thinking.

Oil problem in past for decades years to has been is world of hot or focus problem, oil in future is long of period still will is world compete for of most important resources, oil industrial in future for decades years still will is world concern of important industry one, world economic body in the constantly flowing of blood also main is oil, and currently people relish of new blood-information flow not may in short period within replaced oil.

World economic body even to exchange transfusion, the main ingredients in fresh blood is also oil, or is a mixture of organic oil flow and information flow.

In the field of oil "trouble", such as changes in oil supply and demand, oil price fluctuations, the new discovery of oil resources, oil channels unblocked or blocked, such as oil-producing areas of political and economic conflicts from intensifying, will continue to affect the heart of politicians, military experts, economists and entrepreneurs, has received much attention. Therefore, the international oil market is "minus the front".

Ownership and access to oil resources, ensure the long-term stability of oil supply, has become the world's political, military, and economic areas in all countries, particularly the developed countries focus on one of the strategies.

Brazil pictures/Dong Xiucheng perturbation

Brazil pictures/Dong Xiucheng perturbation

About Jesus

Samba

The world's largest hydropower station

Samba

Iguassu Falls

Dong Xiucheng: refined oil price has little effect on the CPI in the second half bullish international oil prices.

<p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN="center"> <b .STYLE = "mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> second half of the bullish international oil prices "TITLE =" Dong Xiucheng: refined oil price has little effect on the CPI in the second half <wbr> call international oil "/> </ P .> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN="center"> < .b STYLE = "mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> Dong Xiucheng: refined oil price has little effect on the CPI in the second half bullish international oil </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD .-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none "ALIGN =" center "> 2010 年 10 26 / China Economic Net </ P> <p .STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm .0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none "> China Economic Net Beijing October 25 (Reporter beam dream night) National Development and Reform Commission decided to domestic .oil prices will rise at 0:00 on the 26th. which, for the oil production enterprises, and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Army Corps, the State reserves with gasoline and diesel (standard products, the same below) supply increased by 230 yuan per ton and 220 ., adjusted gasoline and diesel supply prices were 7,410 yuan and 6,680 yuan per ton. </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso .-layout-grid-align: none "> finished for this round of rising oil prices will further push up the CPI increase, in the second half of the oil price and other issues the first time China Economic Net a press interview with the China Petroleum University, College of Business Administration, Deputy .President Dong Xiucheng. </ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> It is understood that the distance .June 1 this year, the last price adjustment, the domestic refined oil prices have nearly 5 months straight not adjusted, this is the second price adjustment before and after March this year, domestic oil prices hit a fixed after 4 months, the domestic oil price adjustment time to wait for the .long time. this Dong Xiucheng said that from June to 9 by the end of the basic steady rise in international oil prices, not average more than 4%, so the price adjustment window does not open. For the second oil price rise, he believes .Although there are some market regulation, but according to estimates of the results remain in line with expectations. </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout- .grid-align: none "> National Bureau of Statistics recently announced the September CPI rose 3.6%, the highest in nearly 23 months to a new high, the future of this oil price adjustment will affect them? this Dong Xiucheng said .refined oil products in the CPI statistics, the weight of a small number of limited, while this increase is not big oil, although the CPI rise in oil prices, but its momentum was not directly affected, will not push CPI higher .gains. Dong Xiucheng oil prices will indeed be admitted to a certain extent, affect the inflation expectations of residents, but he believes that the market is the decision of price changes, depending on the state of macroeconomic regulation and control. </ P> <p .STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> talk about the current refined oil pricing mechanism, Dong Xiucheng that although its .security of supply, has played an important role in the promotion of competition, but the oil price adjustment period for a long time lag, is apt to cause speculation, "This is the biggest problem now pricing mechanism, there will be likely to make further improvement. ."It is reported that oil price mechanism Development and Reform Commission recently has run a comprehensive summary and assessment of the situation, to be fully based on the views from various parties to further improve and perfect the mechanism for refined oil products, and strive to introduce relevant changes during the program. </ P> < .p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> for the second half of the movements in international oil prices, rising Dong Xiucheng that .more likely because of the reason why the most recent strength in oil prices could once stand 80 U.S. dollars / barrel at the top, which is largely caused by the depreciation of the dollar, and this trend will continue in the second half; Second, because of domestic .Economic warmed demand will be pulling for the comprehensive look at the future trend of rising international oil prices significantly. </ P>.

Oil price shocks jamming the global recovery

Oil price shocks jamming the global recovery

March 14, 2011/daily

Comments on the

Dong Xiucheng (Director, development research center of China University of petroleum China oil and gas industry): recovery in international oil prices continued to rise on weak world economy will certainly have a negative impact, but how it is difficult to determine accurately, but there are differences in the effects of different types of economies. Due to the light of changes in the economic structure has in developed countries, coupled with the energy industry and alternative energy development, petroleum reserve system is perfect, ability to deal with high oil prices, and therefore relatively less impact. For oil-exporting countries, higher oil prices could increase revenue, so the overall positive impact on. For emerging economies, as in the development stages of industrialization and in the current face inflationary pressures, high oil prices will inevitably lead to rise in the production price index and may indirectly pushed up consumer price index and offset the effects of some of these countries to control inflation policy. (Ding Xiaoxi interview)

Friday, April 8, 2011

Geo-strategy of Chinese Petroleum security

Geo-strategy of Chinese Petroleum security

January 9, 2010/Dong Xiucheng

With the important issue of petroleum security has become the national security system, States around the oil and gas resources of intense competition makes oil changing geo-political landscape of the world, starts to look like a new trend of multiple. Oil and gas core is to ensure the safety of the State oil and gas supply without interruption, ensure the healthy operation of the economy and society. From a realistic analysis of the situation, China Petroleum safety situation is not optimistic.

Oil and gas of China's economic lifeline, but domestic production cannot meet consumer demand, dependence on foreign oil and gas resources will continue to increase. Since reform and opening up, China's national economy an average annual growth rate of close to 10%, leading to rapid growth in energy demand, but for a long time, and energy production cannot meet the needs of economic construction problems have become increasingly prominent. As China's national economy will continue in the future at a higher rate, demand for oil and gas will continue to grow, external dependence will continue to increase.

Future world oil and gas supply and demand patterns change, international competition will be even more acute. Judging from the distribution of resources, the Middle East-North Africa, Central Asia-Russia and the three regions of North America a large proportion of remaining recoverable reserves and prospects of a wide range of proven recoverable oil and gas resources. After 2010, the OPEC share of world oil production will increase to more than 50%, oil supply will be more dependent on the Middle East. International competition over oil and gas resources will be concentrated mainly in the Middle East-North Africa, Central Asia-Russia and China's South China Sea area. In China currently has has in Saudi, and Iran, and Oman, and Yemen, and Russia, and Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan, and Azerbaijan, and Sudan, and Angola, and Chad, and Thailand, and Nigeria, and Canada, and Venezuela, and Peru, national carried out has oil and gas cooperation project, including oil and gas purchase, and products into, and joint venture, and technology service, mode, covers oil and gas exploration development, and ground construction, and long lost pipeline, and oil refining, and oil chemical and oil sales, business area. Overall, cooperation with China's main source of oil and gas from multiple geopolitical risk threats, less security.

Is China's heavy reliance on the main foreign sources of oil and gas in the Middle East, but interwoven with ethnic conflicts, religious conflicts, political conflicts in the region, is the world's most troubled areas, coupled with the United States of "oil" in overseas oil and gas source multiple geopolitical risk in the region. West in the Middle East to promote the "greater Middle East initiative" impact to existing international situation, leading to rising anti-American sentiment in the Middle East; Iran nuclear stalemate, seriously affect China and Iran's oil and gas cooperation between.

Africa has become China's second largest source of oil and gas imports, from Angola, the Sudan, the Congo (Brazzaville) as a greater proportion of imported crude oil. Africa region various tribal disputes, ethnic, religious and regional conflicts, State of war, the military Government of political interference and corruption within the geopolitical risk.

In addition, United States, other national is committed to African oil development strategy, for Sudan Darfur of war, Western national for sanctions, its fundamental intention is for in China in Sudan of can continued oil supply, opportunity on in China in African of oil and gas mining for interference and hinder; Somalia area of war growing, United States to take this opportunities, into Somalia, will entire African governs in its military armed of control range within, on other national formation potential deterrence.

Central Asia is located in the strategic hub, a variety of ethnic, religious and cultural "combination". In Central Asia, religious extremism and violent unrest caused by the direct threat of terrorism in Central Asia's oil and gas development in China. United States take Afghanistan terror machine garrison Afghanistan and other countries, and moved south in Europe's garrison, adjustment of Turkey and other countries of the garrison, as an important military strategy to deployment in Central Asia. From NATO's eastward expansion to the color revolutions, and Badger pipeline construction, United States against Russia formed the attacking line of political oppression, economic competition, increased competition in the oil and gas in the region, also threaten China's oil and gas interests in the region.

Latin America is China's oil and gas "going out" one of the three objectives of the strategy of the strategic area. Political instability and ever-changing for Latin America and the national tide of reform of the energy industry, major geopolitical risks to future country in Latin America is the energy of industrial nationalisation campaign asset classification uncertainty and turn Government policy uncertainty brought about by the resources of State power.

Competition in the international oil and gas market cross, enthusiastic

Competition in the international oil and gas market cross, enthusiastic

March 10, 2010/Dong Xiucheng

At present, the coexistence of competition and cooperation is a very prominent feature of the current world oil and gas market, mainly in the following areas:

Competition and cooperation among the oil exporters. Competition is to get more market share, expand their exports. Cooperation is necessary for their own long-term interests and implementation strategies (lower limit exports, determines the world's oil price) compromises to achieve stable prices in the international oil and gas, purpose of maintaining relative balance of supply and demand.

Competition and cooperation between the main consumers. In order to fight for one's own existing import source and guarantee own demand and take positive steps, with the help of investment, technical assistance, such as oil and gas field exploration and development means crowding out other consumer countries and with a desire to supply main development cooperation supply and demand, himself in in cooperation with the oil and gas supply in a good location. Cooperation is that two competing consumption within the body of the party under certain conditions as an investor in the territory of the other party engaged in mining or oil and gas exploration, development, transportation and other operational cooperation.

Competition and cooperation between the supply and consumption. Most of the competition for strategic considerations, consumption in order to obtain more favourable import source, with its political and economic influence and effective means to prevent a supply side controls on other oil and gas supply sources, or penetration, or prevent their supplies to other consumer party. Form of cooperation is to expand the supply and demand access to their more favourable conditions of supply or oil and gas support.

To demand and supply dual identity of the subject of a State participating in international competition. For oil and gas as the main consumers is because the country has a broad international demand, as energy supply is the main body because the country transnational corporations in the energy region of the world part of the implementation of effective capital operation and control of the oil and gas resources. These multinationals on the one hand enhance the competitive power of domestic oil and gas consumption, on the other hand also enhanced their ability to participate in competition in the international oil and gas supply. In addition, some geographical location (such as oil and gas transit country) advantages of consuming countries in addition to get the pole position in the consumer competition, also have a major effect on competition in the oil and gas supply main results.

Moon over the West River of the Middle East

Moon over the West River of the Middle East

March 17, 2011/Dong Xiucheng

Scourges continue to not break,

On hidden souls in the Middle East.

Old haunt of the Persian save ring tone,

All countries come upon civil strife.

Internal livelihoods complaints,

Taking safe and clouds.

Waves with these foreign aggression the United States and Britain,

Pattern of the gradient of the world.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

As a guest daily-people's network power Forum

People's daily-people's network power Forum on November 27, China Petroleum University Vice Dean, College of business administration Dong Xiucheng, France renowned fulangxisi·Monie Professor School of engineer CNAM, France International Petroleum Institute Professor IFPSchool yalishanda·Luye guest luntan, "oil, renewable energies and climate on the theme" online Exchange with friends.

http://www.people.com.cn/GB/32306/143124/147553/175120/index.html

Rich housing market, housing the poor find Mayor

Rich housing market, housing the poor find Mayor

November 2, 2010/Dong Xiucheng

Recently, the real estate market was amazing from the media data, markets not expected of "cold" status, prices in major cities Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, although slightly decline or stagnation, but trading volume is still in a strong State.

Whether April's "ten" regulation, or September of "new five" regulation and control policy, it seems that effect is not very obvious, expected targets seem difficult to achieve, and look forward to more of the public are very far apart.

From the Government level, the policy "combination fist" frequent attack, including Number Sets a restriction, interest rates and advance supervision and control of funds, abolition of first set of interest rates to 70 percent off and vigorously rectifying intermediary markets and render the estate tax policy, can be described as heavy extraordinary, regulation cannot be said that the Government is determined to not.

However, the market seems to be some "unusual", demand remains strong, prosperity still, falling and prices do not fall, individual property and even contrarian rise.

So, we have to rethink, what is the force in supporting the prosperity? Why the policy target difficult to achieve?

Careful analysis, is not difficult to find, the crux of the problem lies in policy differences between itself and the market demand of power. From the perspective of the Government policy level, a series of regulatory policies such as suppressing demand and increasing supply

, Restricting speculation and mortgage financial control, their fundamental nature belonging to the national executive power means. Executive power is often with temporary effects, lack of confidence in real estate business and public administration, for long-term real estate market trend remains optimistic, and firmly believes that real estate price rising in the future.

The rapid economic development, industrialization and urbanization trend, coupled with the huge market, abnormal excess liquidity, inflation pressure, these people expected future trends in real estate market will keep health, whether owner-occupied or investors will therefore funds investing in real estate market.

Market power and administrative power of the force has been a contest, but the General said, the Chief force is short-term and temporary, and market power have a long-term, stability, from the perspective of market economy, market forces will be the decisive force decided to market prices.

Administrative policies are often unable to tackle, so relying on administrative control of the Government policy, not fundamentally shake the market pattern, or simply touch not to market this source, it may be a short-term psychological impact than the actual effects, may have an impact on the market in the short term, but long-term effects are limited, cannot fundamentally solve the structural problems of the real estate market.

Judging from the policy effects, countries should return to the origin of the market economy, must be from the root system level operation, returned to the economic regulation and control means, and in particular to establish a long-term, adapt to China's basic national conditions, does not violate basic laws of market economy, led by the tax policy of the real estate market regulation system.

At the same time, to establish a universal social security system, the market is the market, the Government is Government, function to strictly distinguish between the two, "rich man's housing market, housing the poor find Mayor", the Government is responsible for resolving the livelihood problems, rather than allowing the market to solve the livelihood problems.

Laugh at yourself: were recorded in the contemporary Chinese celebrity famous sayings

Laugh at yourself: were recorded in the contemporary Chinese celebrity famous sayings

Oujian network should have the so-called "contemporary Chinese celebrities were recorded in the famous" because of I in the so-called "freedom", which secretly amused or helpless, or sigh, or exasperating, in any case, are reproduced in this, right when you laugh at yourself.

http://www.148cn.org/bbs/thread-47009-1-1.html