Friday, May 20, 2011

Gas stations-frequency on price difficult lasting

Gas stations-frequency on price difficult lasting

November 13, 2009/Dong Xiucheng

In addition to oil prices go up and down, around gas stations also played the "price war" market downturn is the main cause of the price war appears, but is difficult to continue for a long time.

Price war is one of the reasons for market subject more, and China's PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC, China Aviation oil four giants, there are a large number of foreign-owned and private enterprises. In addition, consumption comparative nervous market downturns, market demand, oil sources adequate incentives. For example, when China's macro-economic hot, two large groups controlling most of the oil source, source of tension will have no price war. Now the entire market is relatively low, is sufficient to protect the oil source, Sinopec, oil prices in the wholesale, private enterprise oil price and cheap, buy then think of ways to sell on the appropriate prices to attract customers.

Unsustainable price war, the national retail market although many, PetroChina, Sinopec gas stations accounted for half of, the core is not in the retail and wholesale. This competition in the economy under more normal circumstances, it is difficult to form ' price war ' because of oil sources in my hands, I want you to make money can make you money, I want you to make money on the oil price to mention your unprofitable, why some gas stations close in previous years, was hung upside down, 1 money buy sells 8 hair is impossible.

General direction of the oil enterprise reform must be market-oriented, because the market competition to improve efficiency, and the vast number of consumers benefit from, but the existing patterns of change requires a process. With the increase of other subjects of market strength, private, foreign investment, or other large State-owned enterprises, when to fight with the big oil, formed the only real competition.

Developed countries must take more emission reduction responsibility

Developed countries must take more emission reduction responsibility

November 20, 2009/Dong Xiucheng

At present, global reduction targets and financing technology shares not satisfactory, mainly because of the developed countries did not assume the obligations of the United Nations Convention on climate change. Signing of the Convention has nearly 20 years, but in developed countries live up to commitments to the Convention, did not effectively take strong measures, including funding, technology transfer to developing countries and assist capacity-building.

Both from a historical responsibility or from the realistic capacity, developed countries should take the lead on the emissions reduction responsibilities, complete credits at the same time, should provide the necessary support and assistance to developing countries.

Developed countries want to talk to our emission reduction quantitative targets, but we are not with you on this question, I will be with you on the peak of carbon emissions in the future, both sides there is a significant gap. India Government "at least 10 years in the future, not discussion, to bear legal, binding obligations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in absolute number". India this attitude, meet their own needs and realities of economic and social development, developing countries practical.

How did the oil crisis break out?

How did the oil crisis break out?

December 29, 2009/Dong Xiucheng

Characteristics of oil have power, so the contention for oil has been a hot issue in the international pattern, the most obvious manifestation is the oil crisis had happened three times in its history.

Oil crisis refers to a performance of the economic crisis in the oil fields in the world. To study the oil crisis, should first analyse what are the economic crisis. Refers to the economic imbalance in the ratio of so-called economic crisis or turbulent. In the process of economic operation, as long as the target or after some index exceeds a certain limit, the economic crisis to happen. Economic crisis is different from normal economic fluctuations, normal economic fluctuations is inevitable, is constantly adapt to internal and external environment changes of economic system, its corollary of continuously adjusted in order to guarantee their stability. Is a kind of abnormal fluctuation of the economic crisis was affecting the basic objective of economic system and the death of the turbulent.

On the causes of the economic crisis there is no widely accepted theory, is virtually impossible to find a comprehensive systems theory to explain the economic crisis. Different economists had different theories, theory can be summarized as follows: production theory. This theory is that the economic crisis because the production field; exchange theory. This theory is that because of the economic crisis Exchange areas; distribution theory. This theory is that due to the distribution of the economic crisis; innovation. This theory is that the economic crisis was the main reason for the formation of the original equilibrium due to innovative activities of destruction and arise from the emergence of a new equilibrium State; theory of multiplier-accelerator. This theory is that the economic crisis is the main source of "accelerated and interaction of multiplier theory" that accelerate principle and interaction of multiplier theory caused a growing spiral of inflation or deflation.

Economists are long-term economic crisis issues could not be explained clearly, mainly because of the economists are often isolated from one area or focusing on some of the economic factors to look for the causes of the crisis, but in fact the economic crisis is a product of the combination of various economic factors.

Next, this article from the analysis of the economic crisis in terms of power problems. Prior to the industrial civilization, economies were closed, while in some countries of the economic crisis, but is limited to the country, is difficult or impossible to produce a global economic crisis. In the slave society, feudal society, power source of the main force. The balance of force was broken, means that the power shift, social unrest, led to the economic crisis.

After entering the industrial civilization of mankind, countries around the world into one due to capital movements, power factor structure and subsequently changes, factors relative weakening of the role of force, while capital has increasingly become the most important source of power

。 Due to their competition for power continued, with capital flows and movement between the countries, capital flow quantity and frequency exceeds a certain limit, event of a major transfer of power, creates social unrest, led to the economic crisis.

After entering the information civilization of mankind, power factor structure will be towards the knowledge-oriented direction, competing for, or transfer of knowledge means that the transfer of power, if there is abnormal transfer of power, social turmoil, the economic crisis will also occur.

At the same time, we should also recognize that different civilizations, three elements of power are working, and also produce structural changes or adjustments to each other, imbalance will arise between each other, especially in particular civilization during the transfer. Elements of such power imbalances, can also lead to major transfer of power, social conflicts intensified with turmoil, the economic crisis.

To sum up, the economic crisis because of the brutal competition and violent transfer of power, stemming from the structural changes of power factor or serious imbalances. Perhaps this discussion can be summarized as the economic crisis of our "power transition theory."

The new pricing mechanism for oil products introduced during the year and strive to.

<p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN="center"> <b .STYLE = "mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; .mso-layout-grid-align: none "ALIGN =" center "> <b STYLE="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> new pricing mechanism for refined oil during the year and strive to put </ P> <p STYLE = ."MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN = "center"> 2010 年 10 月 26 日./ Oriental Morning Post / Li Yue Group </ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> <wbr> <wbr> ."At present the parties to the refined oil pricing mechanism reform has been basically reached a consensus on the period from 22 days to adjust the existing provisions of refined oil prices to a week for a tune." </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm .0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none "> According to Xinhua News Agency reported yesterday, the National Development and Reform Commission (hereinafter: National Development and Reform Commission) said ."The new pricing mechanism for oil products will be introduced during the year and strive to, the mechanism will be more transparent." </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150% .; mso-layout-grid-align: none ">" the existing mechanism of supply and demand derailed "</ P> <p STYLE =" MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso .-layout-grid-align: none "> the other, according to Caijing reported yesterday, a state-owned oil company official, the current parties to reform oil pricing mechanism has formed a consensus on the time required from the existing .22 days to adjust oil prices to a week for a tune. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> The source also said that the new oil .pricing mechanism may be canceled, "according to changes in international crude oil market 4% frequency of adjustment of domestic oil prices," the limit, to adjust according to the international oil price ups and downs. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> now refined oil pricing is based on national development .Reform Commission on May 7, 2009 issue of the "oil price control measures (for Trial Implementation)" (hereinafter: the "Rules") to adjust. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> under the "Rules", when the international crude oil market .moving average price changes for 22 consecutive days over 4%, the National Development and Reform Commission can adjust the domestic prices of refined oil. .When international oil prices below 80 dollars per barrel, the calculation of the normal processing of profit oil prices; above 80 U.S. dollars a barrel, the profit margins began to reduced processing until the zero profit calculated according to prices of refined oil processing; higher than .130 U.S. dollars per barrel, in accordance with both the producer, consumer interests and maintain smooth operation of the principle of the national economy, to take appropriate fiscal policies to ensure that production and supply of refined oil, gasoline and diesel prices in principle, provide or less mention. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> but the price of more than a year in practice .After the allegations of lack of transparency in the rules, adjust the cycle is too long, requires too much, the domestic supply and demand and other issues derailed. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> It is because of the long 22 working days .4% plus a substantial period, resulting from this year on June 1 after the oil price adjustments, although the fluctuations in international crude oil prices, domestic oil prices are up more than 4 months at the time did not make any adjustments. .In between these 4 months in some areas, even the oil shortage problem. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> "pricing model is difficult to borrow abroad," </ .P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> China Petroleum University, Associate Dean of Business Administration Dong Xiucheng .said: "current" means "The biggest problem is the time difference problems from the past to determine the current price of oil, and the cycle is too long, so traders can easily be based on judging the trend of international oil prices, when oil prices rise in anticipation of possible .By way of hoarding profits, but will likely fall in the expected future situation, the sharp sell-off. "</ P> <p STYLE =" MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line- .HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none "> Dong Xiucheng also believes that the" measures "does not take into account the domestic supply and demand, crude oil prices alone changes in the international market, is not sufficient response to the domestic supply and demand .of, "such as domestic oil demand is not the case, the international crude oil prices may still rise, in this case also raised domestic oil prices is clearly unreasonable." </ P> <p STYLE = " .MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none "> Dong Xiucheng that fancy from the direction of reform, the new pricing mechanism should try to .shorten the adjusting period, the merchant is difficult to speculate based on expectations, while the domestic supply and demand need to be consolidated into account, out of line to avoid the situation inside and outside. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> "In addition, price adjustment is complex, requiring layers .layer of approval, such as the NDRC price department was the State Council on the need to plan, be released after the adoption of directives, which requires a time process. It is already not 'published price' but 'pricing' of. a reasonable approach is to .strictly estimates, timely release of orders, not through the approval. "Dong Xiucheng added. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> the current prices of refined oil in Western countries is entirely .market supply and demand decisions, and the Government does not in any way. .Dong Xiucheng that the current domestic oil product sales of the main view, not appropriate to adopt this approach, "Western countries, sales of finished products market is sufficiently competitive, unlike the domestic market is so concentrated, the two companies (PetroChina, Sinopec) are almost .can dominate the market trend. if we give up the government's pricing, then the case is not fully competitive, may be the problem of high prices. "</ P>.

Miscellaneous poems of the shortage and to panic

Miscellaneous poems of the shortage and to panic

March 9, 2011/Dong Xiucheng

Oil shortage or

Gas shortage or

There is electricity shortage, famine and starvation,

Are shortage

Originated from people wishing to notorious.

Sheng is shortage,

Except Xiao Huang,

This shortage the shortage is not terrible,

Terrible was dismayed.

Saturday, May 7, 2011

Climate change China to uphold the principles

Climate change China to uphold the principles

November 17, 2009/Dong Xiucheng

At present, climate change issues into global hot issues, many countries are concerned about China's participation in the international negotiating process and China's attitude problem of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

However, the world should also concern the developed countries should do, whether they have responsibilities and obligations of its duty to have promised, main should be how to assume the responsibilities and obligations of developed countries, rather than focus on the development of China, including China National emission reduction issues.

We Chinese people like to do most of the world, you can say is the world's most populous country, is the largest developing country in the world, is one of the oldest civilization in the world, has the world's highest mountain and longest city walls in the world, hoping to become the world's largest economies. But as a civilized country, we Chinese certainly don't want to be the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases.

Therefore, China as a responsible economic powers, want and willing to make efforts to tackle climate change, which requires absolutely no doubt, we suspect that is the political will of the developed countries and of their own efforts.

Under development are at a stage of industrialization in China, from the technical level and financial strength is difficult to assume primary responsibility therefore imposed in China a emissions ceiling was unfair and unrealistic. International cooperation requires negotiations need to compromise, but principled stand does not compromise.

Dong Xiucheng: minimal impact on inflation adjusted oil prices.

<p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN="center"> <b .STYLE = "mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> </ P> <p STYLE = "MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; .mso-layout-grid-align: none "ALIGN =" center "> <b STYLE="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> Dong Xiucheng: minimal impact on inflation adjusted price of oil </ P> <p STYLE = ."MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; TexT-ALiGn: center; mso-layout-grid-align: none" ALIGN = "center"> 2010 年 10 月 25 日./ and telecommunications / Zhao Li </ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> <wbr> .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> National Development and Reform Commission and the inquiry message will be .announced the evening of 25 "on the improvement of the domestic refined oil prices," which will be the domestic refined oil prices rise at 0:00 on the 26th, China Petroleum (601857, stock it), Associate Dean of Business Administration and Information Network Interview with Dong Xiucheng accepted .that this oil price adjustments have minimal impact on inflation, because a small adjustment in the CPI, and oil statistics measure the weight of indicators is very small. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> It is reported that oil production for military enterprises .and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, the State reserves with gasoline and diesel (standard products, the same below) supply increased by 230 yuan per ton and 220 yuan, adjusted gasoline and diesel supply prices were 7,410 yuan and 6,680 yuan per ton. .Adjusted price since at 0:00 on October 26, 2010 implementation date. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> Dong Xiucheng that this price adjustment ., the effect of inflation is minimal, because oil measured in the CPI index in the statistical weight is small; another price adjustment is small, 200 yuan this range is very limited, so from the price impact on CPI, .effects can be ignored. .But the indirect impact is difficult to measure, there is a price transmission, but transmission takes time, a lag. .Dong Xiucheng, for example, prices rose, oil and its related industries, transportation and other tariffs are increased, of course, not to mention increase also depends on the market. .Running transport prices, and whether there is a market, transport prices and transport prices of goods itself. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> Dong Xiucheng, said oil prices of factors ., in addition to economic factors, as well as the U.S. dollar and the relationship between the futures market speculation. .Overall, the global excess liquidity, some funds may flow into the stock and futures markets, easy to push up oil prices; Another factor is the trend of depreciation of the dollar continues, the international oil denominated in dollars, the dollar oil .prices are going up. .In fact, oil prices more than 80 U.S. dollars some time ago, but also because the dollar-driven; third factor is the recovery of the world economy as a whole is stabilization, economic recovery pull itself will increase the demand for oil, integrated on the .above, Dong Xiucheng that rising oil prices trend is obvious. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> some have predicted oil demand in the fourth .quarter growth rate will drop, Dong Xiucheng said prices usually are seasonal, there are four quarters of the year this law, like the first and second quarter, consumer demand may be larger, which is a statistical law. .National Development and Reform Commission, however, when price adjustments, the most important measure is based on international oil prices. .Domestic consumer demand in general, not special consideration. .Prices because the country is a limit set, for example, I set to 6.8 yuan gasoline, oil companies and gas stations to sell when you can sell 6 yuan, 5 yuan can be sold, so the national price adjustment will not consider consumer demand. .Oil companies do not sell, it should say in the first half, including last year's second half, they basically are in sales, in many gas stations are all lower than the selling price set by the state. .So, even if the decline in the fourth quarter of oil consumption, it does not affect the price adjustment. .Because of the price adjustment is a minimum price. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> Dong Xiucheng that stocks of refined oil price .not sensitive to little effect. .Theoretically speaking, such as oil price increases, and the CNPC, Sinopec's stock should have a reaction, but it can respond, at least from the last few price adjustment process, not seen, and its sensitivity is not so strong .. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> Development and Reform Commission, said the responsible person 25 .strive to modify the program during the introduction of price mechanisms. .Dong Xiucheng believe that the move is for the existing mechanisms are inadequate or defective parts to be adjusted. .The inadequacies of the existing system is the most obvious relatively long period of time, easily lead to speculation. .Because the market for these price control measures, can have an expected, for example, or the down state of the tune, and so easy to form the market speculation. .</ P> <p STYLE="MArGin: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYoUT-GriD-MoDe: char; Line-HeiGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none"> fact, the most recent period, the market has emerged .speculation, because we expected to price adjustment recently, so it does not sell oil. .Well if the price mechanism, then, the focus is to solve the problem of long adjusting period. .</ P>.

Is information "abduction" of society

Is information "abduction" of society

March 11, 2011/Dong Xiucheng

Times have change, we can't change, only by meeting. Social media subjected torture, media and information into a seemingly empty and for the reality of power, media into a fast food shop, information for fast food, tasty, junk, you have to eat eat eat eat, have no choice, this is the reality of today's information society.

Every day we receive information, to me the scene, most articles, events, image, concept, surprise, surprise, surprise, symbols, and so in time and space that we live in turn in constant bombing, even kidnapped us, so we are unable to grasp what happened in the world.

Media bias, reporters ' bias, selection of information, reporting perspective, news sources, deliberately hyped and rendering, and even intentionally or unintentionally hide these have doubts on society, more people see or hear, but confused more.

"Internet democracy", freedom to play without being constrained to allow the public more lack of understanding of the truth of the way, speculation becomes a trickery of information and access to means and methods of interest, trickery is good at playing with information of people who truly understand business talent.

Television plays a variety of information every day goods, medicines, collections, variety; radio station broadcasts a variety of advertisements every day, cure diseases, tell of the beneficiaries, more promotion of authorities and experts; Books category strange, health experts talking, marketing masters show off performance, effectiveness of medical equipment. And so on, can be described as true and false difficile!

Too many secrets, information is closed and not free to the public is a poor and information explosion and no truth to the public, but a sad.